Ken Ring's Long Range Forecast 2006 April 08 to 30: Charts & Satpics

Disclaimer

I make no claims as to the accuracy of Ken Ring's forecasts, nor regarding how useful or otherwise his clients find them. My analysis, which will appear on a separate page, is out of personal interest only and is therefore necessarily subjective, and I am fully aware that it in no way constitutes a verification using objective criterea that a meteorologist or climate scientist would find acceptable.

Having said that, I welcome feedback to make my analysis more objective, whilst remaining as fair and reasonable as possible - if you consider that any part of my analysis is incorrect, please email me with your reasoning as to why it may be appropriate for me to change any particular part, and I will give your response due consideration and may change my analysis if I feel that it is appropiate to do so - I will place any reasonable comments of this nature on the analysis page, and credit the author (unless they say they wish to remain anonymous), whether I implement them or not, so visitors can assess them for themselves.

My Introductory Comments

I have changed the format, so the first page contains Ken's forecasts only - those who are interested may check out his website <www.predictweather.com> for more information on his methods.

This page contains 6 hourly BoM MSLP synoptic charts and satellite images along with each days forecast so anyone can assess for themselves how well he did.

I have uploaded a separate page, which contains my assessment of Ken's forecasts.

From: ken@weatherman.co.nz
Subject: [austpacwx] Longrange for rest of April
Date: 8 April 2006 7:28:21 AM
Includes Update: 15 April 2006 12:49:11 AM

9th: A H approaches Carnavon and a H crosses SA to VIC [Low remains in Coral Sea]

10th: A H drifts down and then E towards Perth as the further E another H crosses TAS. [Low remains in Coral Sea]

11th: Another L develops in the Coral Sea as a H crosses the Bight to cojoin the eastern H now in the Tasman. [First Low remains in Coral Sea]

12th: Ls in the Coral Sea begin bunching together, an H sits over TAS and another H approaches WA behind a front that crosses the Bight with a L near Melbourne.

13th: The H approaching WA expands, the L in the Coral consolidates and the H moves east off TAS.

14th: The H is over Nullarbor, the L remains in the Coral and strong W winds cross TAS.

16th: The H over Melbourne moves to cover Sydney as another H approaches Perth behind a L near Carnarvon. [Low remains in Coral Sea] Low begins moving SW. Isolated storm Cape York. A heat low forms over N Kimberley extending a trough down the coast until 17th. Cold front crosses SA.

17th: The H begins to affect Perth, the L moves NE from Carnarvon, whilst the L in the Coral remains as does the H over E NSW. A front moves through TAS. Possible fog in Port Curtis.

18th: Another H approaches Perth, the L moves from TAS towards Sydney, whilst the L in the Coral remains but starts moving SW. Further Ls develop near Bourke and Cape Byron which move S resulting in a L off the coast. At the same time a H near TAS. Isolated storm in SE QSLD. A frontal system develops causing the H over WA to retrogress. Cold front crosses SA. Rain in TAS today and tomorrow.

19th: Most of the W half of Australia fine, a L passes through TAS and SE of NSW. [Low remains in Coral Sea] Storm North Coast and Moreton Coast. The front in WA weakens and moves to the SE.

20th: A L approaches WA from the W, a H crosses SW into VIC. [Low remains in Coral Sea]

21st: The L affects Perth, a H is over Melborne and most of NSW, the L (now a TC) in the Coral affects the Gold Coast. Another L develops off the south QSLD coast with more gales and heavy rain. This slowly weakens over the next few days so that by 24th only a trough off the coast remains.. Strong gale force winds Curtis Coast. Low press off the NW coast brings scatt shrs and thunderstms Learmonth to Esperance.

22nd: The L crosses the interior of WA, the L in the Coral moves south, another H approaches WA from the W. Cold front crosses SA.

23rd: The H moves onto WA, the L from the Coral crosses Fiji. Strong winds on QSLD S coast cease. Rain in TAS.

24th: The H crosses the Bight while the L over Fiji moves to the W. Fog in Darling Downs. Cold front over TAS

26th: The H remains stationary in the Bight. Cold front enters SW VIC, reaching Sydney by 27th. Cold front crosses SA and TAS.

27th: The whole southern half of Australia is mostly fine. [The H remains stationary in the Bight.] From now until May 3rd the H in the Bight moves slowly east. Strong SE winds along Moreton South. High press over NSW. From now till May 3rd an anticyclone crosses Bight and Tasman.

28th: The whole southern half of Australia is mostly fine. [The H remains stationary in the Bight.]

29th: The whole southern half of Australia is mostly fine. [The H remains stationary in the Bight.]

30th: A L is over QSLD, a front moves over TAS, the H remains in the Bight. Isolated storms in SW QSLD. Thunderstorms may cause flooding in SA.